Canadian Outlook

Shocks and Struts

Updated: November 9, 2022 | Français

The main forces shaping Canada’s economic outlook have changed little over the past several months, but they have evidently become more intense.

The result will be a virtual stoppage of economic growth in this country. Whether the economy steers past a recession will depend on the robustness of its shock absorbers.

The negative influences are still here—war, COVID-19, inflation, rate hikes—as are their many spin-off implications to housing, spending, and investment.

The Same, but More of It
Global and U.S. Outlooks
Canada’s Business Sector
Household Sector
Housing Markets Correcting
Governments Face a Dilemma
Central Banks Aren’t Done Yet

Canada’s three-year outlooks

Business

Forthcoming

Bracing for a Slowdown

Issue briefing | 13-min read
November 8, 2022
Purchase issue briefing ($225)

Energy

Forthcoming

Investment Coming Back

Issue briefing | 12-min read
November 3, 2022
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Financial markets

Forthcoming

Central Banks Battle Inflation

Issue briefing | 14-min read
November 3, 2022
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Government

Forthcoming

Governments Face a Dilemma

Issue briefing | 12-min read
November 2, 2022
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Housing

Forthcoming

Short-Term Pain but Long-Term Gain

Issue briefing | 16-min read
November 3, 2022
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International trade

Forthcoming

Unfavourable Global Conditions Weigh on Trade Prospects

Issue briefing | 14-min read
November 3, 2022
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Labour and Households

Forthcoming

Rising Headwinds

Issue briefing | 19-min read
November 9, 2022
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Previous releases

Renewed Interest

The pileup of events around the war in Ukraine, continuing supply chain difficulties, and a seemingly never-ending line of Omicron subvariants has pushed prices worldwide beyond central banks’ tolerance levels.

Impact paper | 24-min read
July 12, 2022